Industry perspective and recommendations
GFIA works on a major protection gap study and comments on supervisory guidance on climate risks
In 2023, insured natcat-related damage reached US$117 billion, nearly double the average for the past 30 years. The significant increase can be attributed to the steady rise in the number of low- and medium-intensity disasters since the early 2000s.
For the past four years, insured losses have consistently exceeded the US$100 billion mark, a trend expected to continue with forecasts indicating a rise of about 5% per year. However, the vast majority of global losses remain uninsured, a reality tragically underlined by the catastrophic earthquake in Syria and Turkey in 2023, which claimed over 58,000 lives. The damage was concentrated in poorly protected areas, with around 90% of total losses uninsured.
These figures are a stark reminder of need to increase insurance penetration, in light of the critical role of the insurance industry in helping those affected by these events recover as swiftly as possible. But the industry can also play a role in other areas, such as promoting preventive measures.
The key focuses of GFIA’s work over the past year include reflecting on prevention and resilience issues and commenting on the development of supervisory guidance on climate risks.
Industry perspective on the climate risk supervisory framework
In 2024, the working group submitted a joint response to IAIS’s second, third and fourth consultations on climate risk supervision. The second response focused on supporting material that addressed issues related to market conduct and scenario analysis. The third proposed changes to selected Insurance Core Principles (ICP) guidance and supporting material to reflect climate risk. The fourth response centred on new supporting material to better reflect climate-related risk.
Second consultation
Third consultation
Fourth consultation
GFIA's response to the second consultation focusing on market conduct welcomed the IAIS emphasis on the prevention of greenwashing practices and highlighted the sector’s willingness to align with best practices. It also acknowledged the sector’s good faith efforts in promoting climate disclosures and called for regulatory frameworks that are proportionate, clear and tailored to the specific needs of various insurance sectors, ensuring both accessibility and affordability for all. On climate scenario analysis, GFIA encouraged supervisory authorities to ensure that standards are applied effectively and adapted to the specific needs of different jurisdictions. The working group also stressed that scenario analysis methodologies are still in their preliminary stages of development. GFIA’s response on proposed changes in selected ICP guidance highlighted the necessity to apply proportionality when considering climate risks for insurers.
GFIA submitted its response to the fourth consultation on climate risk in end of October. In it, it highlighted the importance of the concept of materiality in assessing the impact of climate risks for climate-related risk disclosure and stressed the need to avoid redundant reporting requirements. Regarding macroprudential and group supervisory issues, GFIA emphasised the role of insurers as mitigators of systemic risks and highlighted that supervisory actions should be proportional and integrated within existing frameworks.
Speaking out on the industry's critical role in addressing climate risks
Building on the insurance sector's engagement in promoting global resilience, the group has been reflecting on land use planning and more precisely on the capacity of the insurance sector to enhance communities' ability to withstand climate impacts. Indeed, land use planning can mitigate risks associated with increasing natural disasters. The group reflection encompasses prevention, collaborations, risk-based approach, and building back better strategies. The idea is to address risks in their entirety by proposing actions before, during and after the occurrence of a natural disaster. This would involve establishing collaborations that leverage each party’s expertise to provide precise information, while also combining skills to develop land use planning tools such as zoning, risk-based approaches and sustainable reconstruction strategies.
“The idea is to address risks in their entirety by proposing actions before, during and after the occurrence of a natural disaster.”
Facilitating collaborative dialogue
GFIA has continued its dialogue with many other stakeholders and institutions that are committed to achieving a low-carbon economy and promoting green investments.
In March 2024, the UN Environment Programme organised the “Buildings and Climate Global Forum” in collaboration with the French government and with the support of the Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction. On this occasion, as chair of the group I had the opportunity to represent GFIA in a workshop called “Assets and insurable buildings in a changing climate” to provide the industry’s perspective on the role of insurance in the resilience and adaptation of the building sector and to promote the GFIA report on global protection gaps.
In May 2024, the working group welcomed a team leader from the OECD Climate Change Adaptation Task Force who presented their report entitled “Infrastructure for a Climate-Resilient Future”, which was published at the OECD Forum on Infrastructure for Resilience. This was an opportunity for constructive dialogue with the OECD, thereby informing the group’s research on the impact of land use planning on reducing the climate risks.
Looking ahead, the group plans to organise a virtual workshop on the insurability of the future in the beginning of 2025 to initiate our reflections COP30 in Brazil. The objective will be to provide an industry perspective on the role of insurance in resilience and adaptation.
Awareness-raising campaigns
Insurers across Europe are involved in a broad range of awareness-raising campaigns. For instance, in Germany, risk-awareness campaigns are implemented jointly by state authorities, consumer protection organisations, the insurance industry, architects and other stakeholders. Their collaboration is built around a common goal: to raise awareness of the effects of climate change and natural hazards, of the benefits of loss prevention, and of best practices as regards natural catastrophe-resilient buildings. The high level of risk awareness in Germany is one of the reasons for the relatively low protection gap; indeed, the insurance penetration rate for natural perils such as storm or hail is more than 90%.
Most European insurance associations have initiatives to raise risk awareness, such as dedicated workshops, events and educational seminars, as well as frequent in-depth articles, themed newsletters, presentations and other publications.
Many French insurers have launched prevention campaigns and also support the campaigns of “Assurance Prévention”, an association founded by the French insurance association (France Assureurs). Assurance Prévention has produced numerous leaflets, infographics, quizzes, etc. to raise awareness of natural risks. Through its initiatives, it aims to develop a “culture of risk prevention” among students and teachers.
Education
The European insurance industry works to increase financial literacy in relation to risk awareness, insurance protection and long-term savings:
The Croatian Insurance Bureau (HUO) launched a first educational project in 2009, “Financial literacy in the Republic of Croatia”, which was followed by a range of educational activities, often implemented jointly with independent insurers. One of these activities, “Safer Tomorrow”, was initiated in 2021, and aims to raise citizens’ awareness of the benefits of insurance. Within the framework of the project, HUO launched several videos and infographics, some of which specifically target young people.
The HUO organises a yearly competition for the best scientific paper, the best graduate thesis and the best undergraduate thesis in the field of insurance. HUO also publishes the “Croatian magazine for INSURANCE”, a scientific journal for professionals to advance good practice in the sector. Finally, some insurers in Croatia created a colouring book for children to promote financial literacy at a young age in a fun and simple way.
In Italy, the ANIA Academy, together with CeTIF (Research Centre on Technologies, Innovation and Finance of the Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore), launched the second edition (2022) of the 2nd level master’s in insurance management to train professionals and enable them to respond to the challenges of the “new normal”.
ANIA is also collaborating with LUISS Business School to develop a major course in insurance management as part of its Executive Master in Financial Management.
Insurance Europe produces information for consumers as part of its “InsureWisely” financial education initiative. This includes one-pagers on different insurance topics, including how to limit the effects of natural catastrophes.
The French insurance association (France Assureurs) developed a series of educational booklets within the framework of EDUCFI (the French national strategy for economic, budgetary, and financial education), an initiative launched by the French Central Bank. These booklets help users to better understand how insurance works and what insurance products do and do not cover.
The Spanish insurance association (UNESPA) set up a financial education programme for schools, “El Riesgo y Yo” (“The Risk and I”). It involves 40 insurance undertakings and 164 volunteers and aims to give 2 500 teenage school students basic financial knowledge and insights into risk management.
Tools and solutions for consumers
Several insurers have developed tools or applications to inform consumers of extreme weather events and whether their properties are at risk from such events.
In 2021, the German insurance association (GDV) introduced a new system for making the risk to buildings of heavy rain damage more transparent. Buildings are placed into one of three risk categories, depending on their location.
The German insurance sector has also developed the “Naturgefahrencheck” (Natural hazards check) and “Hochwassercheck” (Flood check) online tools. With one click, every citizen can check the degree to which their home is at risk of flood, hail and storms. It is quick and easy to understand, it provides the information by postal code area free of charge and it does not require registration.
Swedish insurers developed VisAdapt, a tool designed to help homeowners to decrease the risk of weather-related events affecting their houses.
The Austrian association of insurers (VVO) and the Austrian government jointly developed the HORA app/website (Natural Hazard Overview and Risk Assessment Austria), which helps to determine whether there is an impending risk of flooding or other natural hazards. The website also presents up-to-date weather data on floods, including on water levels, as well as earthquakes, storms, hail, lightning and snow.
French insurers participate in the National Observatory for Natural Risks, a project involving three major partners: the Ministry of Ecological Transition, the CCR (Caisse Centrale de Réassurance) and the MRN (Mission Risques Naturels), an association created by the French insurance association (France Assureurs). This initiative aims to boost prevention and contribute to increased awareness of the risk of natural disasters by keeping citizens informed of their exposure to potential natural hazards.
The Salvage Foundation was established as an independent foundation in 1986 at the initiative of Dutch fire insurers, which are all members of the Dutch insurance association (VVN). The Salvage Foundation is unique in Europe and provides aid after fire, water, lightning, explosion or storm damage. Salvage arrives on site within an hour, undertakes damage mitigation activities, arranges shelter and provides the insurance company with the information it needs to carry out the claim settlement process without delay.
Tools and solutions for insurers
Some associations have developed tools to help insurers assess the risks and consequences of natural hazards.
In Germany, ZÜRS Geo (Zonierungssystem für Überschwemmungsrisiko und Einschätzung von Umweltrisiken) is an online zoning tool that allows insurers to calculate accurately different types of flood risk and offer risk-related premiums.
ANIA Safe, a subsidiary of Italian insurance association ANIA, created GeoSafe, a platform that uses AI-based calculations and models to help insurance companies evaluate the risks and consequences of natural hazards and disasters, such as floods, earthquakes and crop damage.
The French insurance association (France Assureurs) created a dedicated technical body, Mission Risques Naturels (MRN) and MRN GIS (General Information System), to assist private insurers in analysing their customers’ and prospective customers’ exposure to different natural hazards. MRN GIS also gives insurers access to public authorities’ hazard-zoning data, and data on land-use planning restrictions by risk level.
The French CERES tool (accessible to insurers via the CCR website) helps private insurers to benchmark their geolocalised loss records against those of the market.
In Spain, UNESPA published a report to help insurers navigate the recommendations and opinions issued by supervisors and international organisations on the procedures for insurers to integrate sustainability risks and factors into the different areas of their governance.
Forecasting and early warnings
The Dutch insurance association (VVN) publishes an annual Climate Impact Monitor (Klimaat Impact Monitor) in collaboration with Wageningen University & Research (WUR). The Climate Impact Monitor provides a compilation of extreme weather data and loss data, and other climate-related data. The VVN collaborates with the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) on issuing early warnings of extreme weather events. Combining data from the KNMI with risk and loss data from Dutch insurers allows for greater preparedness in the face of changing weather patterns, and the development of solutions to prevent damage from future extreme weather events.
UK insurers carry out a range of activities to support national and regional forecasting of future weather and catastrophe patterns. They use these outputs to inform their business practices, including pricing decisions and risk-based capital assessments. The UK insurance sector also uses such modelling in its dialogue with policymakers and has lobbied for robust action on climate change by the government.
Floods
The Czech insurance association (ČAP) and Intermap Technologies, with the support of reinsurer Swiss Re, created flood maps that are used to assess the likelihood of floods occurring in the Czech Republic. ČAP members use the system to evaluate risks and calculate property insurance premiums. It is also a useful free tool for consumers, as it helps them to determine whether their property is situated in a flood zone and it provides them with important information about insurance options, indicating for instance where there would be a possible premium increase. (Commercial and company use requires a contract with Intermap Technologies). The map data is updated regularly to ensure consistency with the information used by ČAP members.
The German insurance sector has also developed the “Naturgefahrencheck” (Natural hazards check) und “Hochwassercheck” (Flood check) online tools. With one click, every citizen can check the degree to which their home is at risk of flood, hail and storms. It is quick and easy to understand, it provides the information by postal code area free of charge and it does not require registration.
Swedish insurers developed VisAdapt, a tool designed to help homeowners to decrease the risk of weather-related events affecting their houses.
The Austrian association of insurers (VVO) and the Austrian government jointly developed the HORA app/website (Natural Hazard Overview and Risk Assessment Austria), which helps to determine whether there is an impending risk of flooding or other natural hazards. The website also presents up-to-date weather data on floods, including on water levels, as well as earthquakes, storms, hail, lightning and snow.
In Germany, ZÜRS Geo (Zonierungssystem für Überschwemmungsrisiko und Einschätzung von Umweltrisiken) is an online zoning tool that allows insurers to calculate accurately different types of flood risk and offer risk-related premiums.
What are the ICS and AM?
The IAIS is seeking to create a common supervisory language for group solvency and to enhance the global convergence of group capital standards with the ultimate goal of introducing a global Insurance Capital Standard (ICS) for international groups. Since the beginning of 2020, a version of the ICS (ICS 2.0) is being monitored for a five-year period.
By the end of that five-year monitoring period, the IAIS also aims to have assessed whether the Aggregation Method (AM), which has been developed by the US and other interested jurisdictions, provides comparable outcomes to the ICS and can be considered an outcome-equivalent approach to ICS implementation.
What is GFIA’s protection gaps study?
Gaps in protection have major consequences for the well-being and financial resilience of individuals, businesses and society. The world’s insurers have a responsibility to understand and communicate the risks that will have the most impact on people’s lives. That is why GFIA commissioned the first-ever study to identify and quantify the largest global protection gaps and to make recommendations for how policymakers and insurers can work together to close them.
The study, “Global protection gaps and recommendations for bridging them”, was published in March 2023. It identified four gaps that have the most impact on people’s lives due to their size, global presence, impact on livelihoods and expected growth. They are: gaps in pension provision (US$1trn); cyber-risk protection (US$0.9trn); health cover (US$0.8trn); and protection against natural catastrophes (US$0.1trn).